农业危机管理：疯牛病

Click to edit Master title style,Click to edit Master text styles,Second level,Third level,Fourth level,Fifth level,*,*,Managing Agriculture CrisesThe BSE Situation,农业危机管理和疯牛病,Presentation to:,Delegation from China,July 14,2005,Nithi Govindasamy,P.Ag.,Acting Executive Director,Policy Secretariat,Alberta Agriculture,Food and Rural Development,1,BSE Chronology,BSE(,疯牛病简称)历史,May 20,2003 1,st,Canadian cow tested positive for BSE,2003,年5月31日加拿大检测发现,BSE,34 countries closed their doors to Canadian beef,34,个国家拒绝加拿大牛肉进口,August 8,th,2003 US announcement of partial re-opening of border:boneless beef UTM;liver;tallow,2003,年8月6日美国同意部分开放-无骨牛肉，肝脏和牛油,August 15,th,2003 product list amended to include trimmings;plant segregations allowed(UTM/OTM),2003,年8月15日开放牛下脚料,2,BSE Chronology,BSE,历史,Sept.4,th,2003 first shipments begin.,2003,年9月4日-首次出口,Nov 4,th,2003 rulemaking process begins.,2003,年11月4日-决策开始,December 23,rd,2003 discovery of US BSE case.,2003,年12月23日-美国发现,BSE,Jan.5,th,2004 first comment period for Rule ends.,2004,年1月5日-决策第一次评论期结束,Jan.5,th,to March 6,th,2004 Rule making suspended.,2004,年1月5日到3月6日-决策停滞,3,BSE Chronology,BSE,历史,March 7,th,2004 comment period re-opened,for one month.Includes consideration for OTM meat.2004,年3月7日，评论期重新开始为期一个月。包括对,OMT,肉类的考虑。,April 7,th,2004 comment period ends.2004,年4月7日，评论期结束。,April 19,th,2004 USDA amends product entry list to include bone-in beef,ground beef,processed beef products.2004,年4月19日，美国农业部修改了准入产品清单，包括带骨牛肉，绞牛肉，牛肉加工产品。,April 21,st,2004 RCALF court challenge.2004,年4月21日，,RCALF,法庭挑战,4,BSE Chronology,BSE,历史,5,BSE Chronology,BSE,历史,March 2,2005,R-CALF granted preliminary injunction preventing border opening.2005,年三月2日，,R-CALF,品准初级指令以预防边境开放。,USDA has appealed district court preliminary injunction in progress.,美国农业部呼吁地区法庭进行初级指令,July 27,2005 district court will hear R-CALF lawsuit asking for permanent injunction against cattle and UTM beef.2005,年7月27日，地区法庭听取,R-CALF,诉讼,诉讼要求永久牛肉和,UTM,牛肉禁令,9,th,Circuit Court of Appeal hearing on July 13,th,7月13日听取,9,日巡回法庭上诉,6,BSE Chronology,BSE,历史,Alberta Beef Producers and Canadian Cattlemens Association have requested intervenor status in the US court.,艾伯塔牛肉生产者和加拿大牛肉业协会要求美国法庭介入状态,Waiting for Judges decision on intervenor status.,等待法官对介入状态的决定,7,BSE Chronology Other Countries,BSE,历史其它国家,Exports of beef&other products(eg.semen&embryos)have resumed to over 20 countries.,多于20个国家的牛肉和其他产品的出口(例如,精液和晶胚)重新开始,Japan moving away from insisting on 100%testing.,日本不再要求100%检验,Korea waiting for the Japanese open for semen,hides,tallow.,韩国 等待日本重新开放精液,兽皮,牛脂,8,BSE Chronology Other Countries,BSE,历史其它国家,China looking for technical assistance will open for semen,embryos,tallow first.,中国期待技术援助,将会先开放精液,晶胚,牛脂市场,Hong Kong&Macau open,香港和澳门开放,Taiwan encouraging signs,台湾鼓励标记,9,Impacts of BSE,疯牛病的影响,Exports of beef recovered in 2004 but were still slightly below 2002 levels($1.524 billion in 2004 compared to$1.642 billion in 2002).,牛肉出口在2004年有所恢复,但是仍然低于2002年的标准($15.24亿2004年,14.42亿2002年),Exports of Alberta fresh and frozen beef including offals fell by approximately$500 million in 2003 compared to 2002.(,相对于2002年,2003年艾伯塔的鲜牛肉和冻牛肉(包括下水)出口下降大约5亿),10,Impacts ofBSE,疯牛病的影,响,响,TotalFarmCashReceipts(FCR)forcattle andcalves inAlberta fell by over$1.3 billionfrom2002to 2003.,艾伯塔的全,部,部牛和小牛,的,的农业现金,收,收入从2002年到2003年下,降,降多于13,亿,亿,FCR for Albertacattle and calves recovered slightly in2004,howeverwas stilldownby over$1.2 billioncomparedto 2002.,艾伯,塔,塔的,全,全部,牛,牛和,小,小牛,的,的农,业,业现,金,金收,入,入2004年,恢,恢复,但,是,是仍,然,然低,于,于2002年,多,多于12,亿,亿,11,ImpactsofBSE,疯牛,病,病的,影,影响,Normal7to8centperlb.spreadforfedcattlehasaveraged34centsperlb.undertheUSpricesinceJanuary,2004,通常7到8分,每,每磅,伸,伸展,肉,肉牛,平,平均34,分,分每,磅,磅低,于,于美,国,国价,格,格自,从,从2004年1月.,TotallossesasaresultofBSEestimatedat$4-5billiondollarsforallofCanada.,疯牛,病,病总,损,损失,预,预计$40-50,亿,亿,Governmentprogrampaymentsexceed$2Billion,政府,项,项目,偿,偿还,多,多于$20亿,12,Agri-FoodTradewiththeUS(C$Millions),与美,国,国农,业,业产,品,品贸,易,易(加,拿,拿大,元,元,百,百,万,万),Exports,1999,2000,2001,2002,2003,Alberta,2,566,2,779,3,288,3,035,2,030,Canada,13,435,14,427,16,857,17,657,15,763,Imports,Canada,10,160,10,985,12,267,13,169,12,600,Total Canada/US Bilateral Trade:$28.36 Billion(2003),(Largest Bilateral Agricultural Trade Relationship in the world),13,Canada/USBeef&CattleTrade(C$Millions),加拿,大,大/,美,美国,牛,牛肉,和,和牛,贸,贸易,Cattle,2000,2001,2002,2003,2004,Exports,1,127,1,655,1,821,596,0,Imports,265,238,77,38,0,Beef,Exports,1,512,1,770,1,809,1,241,1,569,Imports,336,347,350,352,75,Total Exports,2,639,3,425,3,630,1,835,1,569,Total Imports,631,585,427,390,75,14,ChangeinCanadaBeefExports,加拿,大,大牛,肉,肉出,国,国变,化,化,2002versus2004-Top5Markets(C$Million),2002,2004,United States,1,809,1,569,Mexico,199,299,Japan,81,0,South Korea,50,0,Taiwan,20,0,Macau,0,24,Poland,25,K,3,Phillipines,230,K,3,Total All Countries,2,192,1,911,15,Canadianherdisgrowing,加拿,大,大牧,群,群在,增,增长,Totalcattleandcalvesonfarm:,农场,全,全部,牛,牛和,小,小牛,200213.76,million,200313.49million,200414.66million,200515.09million,Source:StatisticsCanada,16,CanadianherdisGrowing,加拿,大,大牧,群,群在,增,增长,17,2,bil