PARADIGMSHIFTSANDIMPACTONINDUSTRYAND范式的转变和对行业的影响和

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,*,Slide Title,Body Text,Second Level,Third Level,Fourth Level,Fifth Level,PARADIGM SHIFTS AND IMPACT ON INDUSTRY AND TECHNOLOGY,Marcus O.Durham THEWAY Corp/U of Tulsa,Robert A.Durham Central&Southwest Srvcs,WTU,PARADIGMSIntroduction,A set of rules that define boundaries of a system,Provide description of operation within boundaries,In 4 words or less,A WAY OF THINKING,HISTORYAdvances in Technology-Tools,Nomad Independence,Hunt-Herd-Gather,Basic Shelter,Agrarian Economy,Farm,Store,Permanent Shelter,Industrial Revolution,Systems,Controlled by Owner,Information,Desirable Shelter,Information Explosion,Technology if willing to risk and learn,Choice of Shelter,HISTORYBusiness Life Cycle,Technology,Birth and Growth,Management,Stability and Expansion by Acquisition,Legal,Risk Avoidance and Demise,TECHNOLOGY LIFE CYCLE,Dream or Concept Beginning,Plan Focus,GrowthCritical Mass,MaturityBandwidth,Roll-offStale,SatiationStagnant,DemisePull Plug,Last Century-Cycle Generation,Next Century-Cycle then PV then TG,TCTechnology Cost,FV Quality,education,reliability,PV Perceived Value,TG Technology Gap,SHIFT OF COSTSWhere?,Manufacturing Insignificant Today,Distribution is the Major Cost,Technology for Distribution,Retailer-Minimize Handlers,Computer Links,Control,Package Express-New Airline,Central Sorting,Send Back,Direct Market-Computer/Satellite,Express,JIT Customer,Major Wealth in Last 20 Years?,Technological Distribution,PEOPLE PLACEMENT Cope Vs Options,Unskilled LaborGrowing GapMotivation&Moral Responsible,Skilled“Blue Collar New JobNew Enterprise,ManagerNo Need ConventionalTransition to Technology Mgr,Technologists OutsourceOpportunity Vs Stable,PEOPLE PLACEMENTCyberspace,Not About Computers,Release of Information to More People,Technology not Domain of Managers,Internet Connections,PEOPLE PLACEMENTSociety Good,Technology Replace Person,More Money to Owner,More to Spend on Non-Necessities,New Enterprises from New Lifestyle,FUTURE FOR EDUCATIONAnalysis of Technology,Reams of Data,Little Knowledge,Cant Review&Validate,Cant Ascertain Problems,Technical Expert vs.Artificial Expert,Need Basic Principles Emphasis,2*2=?,FUTURE FOR EDUCATIONRefocus,OldNew,Technical Theory Skills Change Fast,Deal With Things Deal With People,Info Age-Vacuum HavenNeed People Skills,Continuing Education,Seminar,Short Courses,Professional Society,FUTURE OF ORGANIZATIONS,Independent Interdependence,Technology,Change&Creativity,Manufacturing,Efficient Joint Ventures,Marketing,Entrepreneurs,Niche Clientele,Distribution,Technology Manager Products/Info,Support Network,Education and Encouragement,Major Companies?,FUTURE FOR TECHNOLOGISTSWay to Go,20 Years Ago,Concept to market,5 years,Today,Life Cycle of Technology 5 Years,Need Less Advanced Skills,More Application,Multiple Separate Businesses,One Flourishes,Others Incubate,Develop Where You Want With Information System,FUTURE FOR TECHNOLOGISTSNew Criteria,Network,Others Must Know,Exchange Skills,Niche,Marketer,Unconventional,People Skills,Mandatory,Change Uncomfortable,but Future is Bright,FUTURE OF TECHNOLOGISTSInformation Revolution,Major CorporationDeterioration of Empire,Life Time Employment w/Co.HA,Life Time Doing Same ThingHA HA,THATS GOOD NEWS,Opportunitie$,“Business Reality:,We are not a family-this is business.,The Company and the Employees have formed a partnershipwhich should be mutually beneficial.,Either party can terminate this partnership at any timeif it ceases to be beneficial-no hard feelings.,This is a job-it should be challenging and rewarding-but it is still just a job.,Loyalty and high morale may no longer be part of therelationship.,Long term security is no longer a reality.,SUMMARYParadigm Shift,Tech Growth=Info Acceleration+Application Speed,Tech Limit=Perceived Costs,Tech Gap =Advances-Application,Opportunity=Tech Gap+Spin-Offs,SUMMARYOrganization,Inertia Makes Unresponsive Traditional,Pare to Flat,Independent Manufacturers,Marketing,Transporters,Marketer,Technology,Manager,Supplier,Transporter,SUMMARYTechnologists,Success=Change,Communications&People Skills,Basic Education on Fundamentals,Continuing Education,SUMMARYMatter of Control,Stability of Negative Feedback,OR,Explosive Growth of Positive Feedback,$,CONCEPT,PLAN,GROWTH,time,MATURITY,OPPORTUNITY,RECOGNITION,Questions?,
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