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,*,*,TECHNOLOGY PREDICTIONS,Trends&innovations shaping the global tech sector,2 01 8,04,THE VIEW FROM GP BULLHOUND,Per Roman&Alec Dafferner,GP Bullhound,06,RECAP OF GP BULLHOUNDS 2017 PREDICTIONS,08,TECHNOLOGY PREDICTIONS 2018,10,TREND 1:AN UNEASY FUTURE FOR POLITICS AND TECHNOLOGY,12,TREND 2:CYBER SECURITY-EXPOSURE AND ADOPTION,14,EXPERT VIEW,Ben Brabyn,Level39,16,TREND 3:MOBILE TRUMPS TV IN CHINA,18,TREND 4:TRANSLATION TECHNOLOGY TAKES HOLD,20,TREND 5:OVER AND OUT,EMAIL,22,TREND 6:INTERNATIONAL LABOR ARBITRAGE FLOURISHES,24,EXPERT VIEW,Utpal Bhatt,Neo4j,26,TREND 7:THE UNLIKELY COMEBACK OF THE SOFTWARE SUITE,28,TREND 8:INDUSTRY 4.0,30,EXPERT VIEW,Aidan Quilligan,Accenture,32,TREND 9:REGULATORS RULE ON BOOM AND BUST OF ICO,s,34,TREND 10:AUGMENTED REALITY ADAPTS FOR EARLY ADOPTION,36,EXPERT VIEW,Martin Herdina,Wikitude,38,METHODOLOGY,CONTENTS,GP BULLHOUND TECHNOLOGY PREDICTIONS 2018,3,EXECUTIVE SUMMARY,THE VIEW,From GP Bullhound,Per Roman,Managing Partner,4,At GP Bullhound,we are a champion of technology entrepreneurs.It is our belief that a mission to create world-leading companies provides tomorrows economy with the energy and purpose to address fundamental social,industrial,and commercial challenges.It is this positive take on the potential of technology that first inspired us to create our annual Technology Predictions report.In its eleventh edition,this years report is no less optimistic.,Some commentators have argued that the technology industrys vision of optimism and openness has turned to anxiety and antagonism.From the worlds largest technology companies through to the latest generation of innovators,the role and responsibility of the digital economy has increasingly come under scrutiny in the,past year.,And yet,the opinion of our leading team of analysts and dealmakers is clear:technology will continue to break down barriers in 2018.Advances in the ability of computers to recognize,comprehend and translate any language mean that we stand on the brink of universal understanding.We believe these advances will see one billion people use technology for translation in 2018,bringing us,closer to a fundamental shift in human-to-human communication globally.,The rise of workplace messaging platforms such as Slack and Messenger are also radically,transforming the way we communicate.In fact,we believe that the efficiency and simplicity of these platforms will mean that 2018 will be the first ever year where we see a decline in the total number of emails sent in the US.,Meanwhile,augmented realitys ability to break down the barrier between the physical and the digital will increasingly transform the way we interact with the world around us.The rise of AR platforms from Google and Apple will see vast user adoption of the technology in 2018.,GP BULLHOUND TECHNOLOGY PREDICTIONS 2018,5,In 2018 smart technologies and digital transformation take hold also in manufacturing and the industrial sector.Smart factories are projected to lead to a sevenfold increase,in overall productivity by 2022.,(1),Related to this trend,we also view the expansion and,consolidation of the enterprise software sector as a major trend for 2018.,We have also examined two trends with important economic consequences.In China,it is no secret mobile is king the scale of this mobile-first economy saw mobile payments reach,$5.5 trillion in 2016.,(2),However,an unexpected consequence of the explosion in usage of smartphones is that we expect 2018 will be the first year that time spent on mobile devices in the country exceeds television usage.,On a global scale in 2018,with the ever growing hunger from fast growing technology companies to suck up talent,we expect more and more companies to expand their presences outside,of current hubs such as Silicon Valley,Shenzen,Berlin and Stockholm,where the cost of living and employment have spiralled.Technology itself is making it ever-easier for digital companies to have distributed rather than concentrated staff.This trend makes for a flatter world with more employment opportunities globally.,There is,then,plenty of scope to be optimistic about the year to come in tech.However,some areas of the digital economy remain problematic and we have sought to understand their impact in the coming months.The interaction of politics and technology will continue to unsettle voting populations around the world,as the scale and complexity of regulating digital campaigning hinders progress.Likewise,consumers will increasingly seek protection against growing cyber threats,particularly with the rapid rise,in connected devices.Finally,the lack of understanding and uncertainty surrounding initial coin offerings will attract significant scrutiny from the worlds financial institutions and regulators.,These challenges are significant,but they do not outweigh the vast potential for the digital economy to positively transform business and society.We hope this report provides a useful roadmap to bring order to the complexities of
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