二胎政策的辩论

Is it the right time for china to introduce a two child policy 1 目前父母是独生子女可生二胎 At present if parents are only child they can have two fetuses 2007 年 7 月 10 日人口计生委发言 现在我们国家除了河南省以外 其他省市区的条例都 规定 夫妻双方都是独生子女的 可以生两个孩子 目前 11 以上人口可生两个或两个 以上孩子 On July 10 2007 population state family planning commission spokesman now our country except outside of henan province China set the rules of the other both sides of husband and wife is the singleton female can have two children At present more than 11 of the population can have two or more than two children 中国人口年龄化的思考 China s population age of thinking 我国人口老龄化呈现以下特点 一是老年人口基数大 60 岁以上老年人口是世界老年人口 总量的 1 5 是亚洲老年人口的 1 2 二是老年人口增长速度快 从 1980 年到 1999 年 在 不到 20 年的时间里 我国人口年龄结构就基本完成了从成年型向老年型的转变 近年来我 国 80 岁以上高龄老人以年均约 4 7 的速度增长 明显快于 60 岁以上老年人口的增长速度 四是地区老龄化程度差异较大 The population aging in our country shows the following characteristics it is an old big population base 60 years or older population is the elderly population 1 5 of the total amount Asia is elderly population 1 2 Two elderly populations are growing at a faster pace From 1980 to 1999 in less than 20 years the China population age structure is basic accomplished from the young style to old style transformation In China in recent years more than 80 years old be elderly on average growing at about 4 7 significantly faster than 60 years or older with the rate of population growth Four is aging in great difference 人口老龄化 The problem of population aging 我国人口老龄化的主要特点是 第一 人口老龄化提前达到高峰 20 世纪后期 为控制人 口的急剧增长 国家推行计划生育政策 使得人口出生率迅速下降 加快了我国人口老龄 化的进程 由于下世纪前半叶人口压力仍然沉重 还要继续坚持计划生育的国策 其结果 将不可避免地使我国提早达到人口老龄化高峰 第二 在社会经济不太发达状态下进入人 口老龄化 The main characteristics of the population aging in our country are the first the population aging reached a peak in advance The late twentieth century for control of the population has increased dramatically countries carrying out family planning policy making the birth rate fell rapidly to speed up the process of the population aging in our country Because the first of next century population pressure still heavy will continue to adhere to the basic national policy of family planning the results will inevitably early aging population in our country to peak Second in the social economy isn t very developed state into the population aging 1 新中国建立初 中国人口人数 Since the founding of the beginning the number of China s population 1953 年 6 月 30 日全国人口总数为六亿零一百九十三万八千零三十五人 June 30 1953 the national population of six hundred and one million nine hundred and thirty eight thousand and thirty five 2 独生子女政策声明时候在中国实行的 在此之前中国实行的什么生育政策 1980 年决定实行独生子女政策 以前实行的是鼓励生育政策 In 1980 the one child policy decision before the family planning policy is to encourage the 3 在第六次人口普查之前 有没有允许实行多胎政策 In the sixth time population census before have allowed more than a tire policy 没有 但如果父母是独生子女 可以生二胎 不可以多胎 No but if the parents are the only children can have two foetuses can not births 4 中国老龄化到了什么层次 China s aging population to what level 我国人口年龄结构的变化 说明随着我国经济社会快速发展 人民生活水平和医疗卫 生保健事业的巨大改善 生育率持续保持较低水平 老龄化进程逐步加快 本世纪 30 年代的人口老龄化高峰 China s population age structure change with that in China s economic and social development people s living standards and medical health care of the cause of the great improvement fertility rate continued remain low aging process has been accelerating gradually This century 30 s of the population ageing peak 5 物价和国民生产总值 Prices and GDP 6 独生子女怕吃苦进行比较 Only children afraid of hardship 7 二胎放开限制 二三十年后 生产力上升 人口普查数量 若放开政策 人口总数上 升 意味着资源损耗 财政压力 Two fetuses easing restrictions after two hundred and thirty years rising productivity census number if open policy with a total population of higher that resource depletion financial pressure 8 这么多人工作 创造的财富供养老年人 20 个年轻人养 40 个老人 未来 20 个养 60 个 老人 So many people work create wealth supporting the old 20 young people have 40 to the old man the future 20 a 60 an old man Based on the research of experts family planning departments are currently considering lifting restrictions limiting the two child policy to rural and minority areas a CPPCC member said on March 6 Wang Yu qing CPPCC member and deputy director of the Committee of Population Resources and Environment said he is personally in favor of the gradual opening of the two child policy Currently in the rural and minority areas of China if the first child of a family is a girl the family is allowed to have a second child As the aging population problem has become increasingly prominent in China and the demographic dividend has reached a certain stage this policy should also be gradually opened in urban areas he said Wang revealed that currently related family planning departments are also considering this problem based on the research of many experts He personally believes restrictions on the two child policy will be lifted in urban areas at the end of the 12th Five Year Plan period Wang said that the two child policy will not lead to a population boom He said that birth rates in large cities such as Beijing and Shanghai are decreasing because the cost of raising a child has increased and young people s attitudes have also changed This is also consistent with the international trend If quality of life reaches a certain level the population will naturally decrease without government control