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This is a headline,#,Textmaster,Second Layer,Third Layer,Fourth Layer,Fifth Layer,6,Click to edit Master title style,Edit Master text styles,Second level,Third level,Fourth level,Fifth level,#,Click to edit Master title style,Edit Master text styles,Second level,Third level,Fourth level,Fifth level,#,Sub-Saharan Africa Energy Sector Overview&World Bank,Group Program,July,2016,Contents,Section I Africa Energy Sector Overview,Section II Potential&Opportunities,Section III WB and IFC Programs,Section IV Deep Dive on Solar PV in,Africa,Summary:Scope for collaboration,2,Installed generation capacity is 145 GW,of which 80 GW in Sub Saharan Africa (=to Republic of Korea),600 million people(70%of population)and 10 million SMEs lack energy access,Excl.South,Africa,con,sumption,is 1%of OECD levels,Energy supply not in pace with GDP growth and outpaced by demand growth,30 countries face regular interruption of services,Sales lost(interruptions):6%formal,16%informal sector,Nearly 80%of households rely on solid biomass for cooking,500,000 deaths per year attributed to indoor pollution,Africa Energy(Un)Balance:,Low Supply&Low Access,Source:IEA and World Bank,3,Power Generation Capacity in,Sub Saharan Africa(SSA),Highly Concentrated,12 countries account for 90%of capacity,27 have grid-connected power systems smaller than 500MW,14 smaller than 100MW,Few economies of scale,Large energy resources remain undeveloped,Country,MW,Nigeria,7,044,Sudan,3,038,Ghana,2,812,DRC,2,444,Mozambique,2,382,Ethiopia,2,094,Zambia,1,985,Zimbabwe,1,970,Kenya,1,766,Tanzania,1,659,Cte dIvoire,1,521,Angola,1,509,Cameroon,1,238,4,Performance of SSA Power Sector,Global Outlier,Generation capacity,(MW per million population),Electrification rate,(Percentage of households),Electricity consumption,(kWh per capita per year),Power prices,(US$per kilowatt-hour),Source:World Bank,5,Currently,about,1-2 GW,of new installed capacity deployed yearly,against,6-7 GW needed,Power requirements will double by 2030 and treble by 2040,Mounting,Energy Needs,Access growing,1%,per year in the last decade,At this rate,less than,60%,of Africans will have electricity in their homes by 2030 less than today!,Source:IEA,6,Type,of,investment*,Bln.,($),debt,and equity,GW,added,%of,total,GW,%of total investment,Public,15.9,8.7,43.7,50.7,IPPs,7.0,4.8,24.0,22.2,China,5.0,3.3,16.5,16.0,ODA,DFI,and,Arab funds,3.5,3.2,15.9,11.2,Total,31.4,19.8,100.0,100.0,Enormous investment needs:,$9-10*bln.invested yearly in SSA against$40 bln.needed for universal access by 2030,Energy Financing,Challenge To Be Addressed,7,Private sector not systematically engaged,Private investment in SSA energy sector=1%of private investment in emerging economies/developing regions(vs.34%for South Asia),Six SSA countries concentrate 80%of private investments(Kenya,Nigeria,South Africa,Uganda,Tanzania,Senegal),Engagement mainly through,IPPs,High tariffs do not cover cost,Few,poor unconnected households can afford a connection at current tariff levels,Yet,utilities rely on government subsidies,*,Total investment power generation plants,SSA excl.South Africa,19902013,Contents,Section I Africa Energy Sector Overview,Section II Potential&Opportunities,Section III WBs Program,Section IV Deep Dive on Solar PV in,Africa,Summary:Scope for collaboration,8,Potential:,Abundant,Low Carbon,Low Cost Energy Resources,283 GW of technical hydropower potential(=1200 TWh/year of power),One of Africas most promising drivers for green growth,Only a fraction of Africas hydropower has been developed,Major reserves of Natural Gas,West:Nigeria,Gulf of Guinea,East:Mozambique,Tanzania,15+GW of Geothermal potential,African Rift Valley,Over 1,000 GW of Wind and Solar,Needs to be economically dispatched with attentive siting and infrastructure,9,10,6 highest potential countries:Ethiopia,Guinea,Democratic Republic of,Congo(DRC),Sudan,Mozambique,Cameroon,SSA power landscape is drastically changing after decades of finance scarcity.Non-traditional financiers and developers are pursuing development of most attractive sites in parallel to renewed IFI interest,Hydropower still very much a public business,but private sector slowly entering,O&M of new hydro stock will have to be addressed to ensure useful lifespan,Opportunity:,Hydropower,Opportunity:,Gas to Power,Gas:avoid flaring and promote regional trade,180 tcf proven reserves in Nigeria,half is associated gas.Still significant flaring,Some other pockets with upsides(Cameroon 5 tcf,Congo 4 tcf,Ghana 1.5 tcf).Regional trade potential with WAGP,Gas:,New frontier markets?,Huge undeveloped,discoveries(128 tcf Mozambique,47 tcf Tanzania),Non-associated gas,LNG.Timing is of the essence in a crowded global market,Gas:Alternative to Coal,?,Pipeline gas from Mozambique,Potential coal-bed methane,Offshore exploration,beginning,But tough social battle ahead to displace coal,Gas:Game-changer,?,Largest find offshore Egypt(30 tcf,equivalent to 40%of countrys proven reserves),Huge relief for domestic market,Gas:,
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