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Click to edit Master title style,Click to edit Master text styles,Second level,Third level,Fourth level,Fifth level,*,*,The External Environment: Opportunities, Threats, and Industry Competition, and Competitor Analysis,Michael A. Hitt,R. Duane Ireland,Robert E. Hoskisson,Chapter 2,1,Strategy Implementation,Chapter 13,Strategic,Entrepreneurship,Chapter 11,Organizational,Structure and,Controls,Chapter 10,Corporate,Governance,Chapter 12,Strategic,Leadership,Strategy Formulation,Chapter 6,Corporate-,Level Strategy,Chapter 9,Cooperative,Strategy,Chapter 5,Competitive Rivalry,and Competitive,Dynamics,Chapter 8,International,Strategy,Chapter 4,Business-Level,Strategy,Chapter 7,Acquisition and,Restructuring,Strategies,Strategic,Competitiveness,Above-Average,Returns,Strategic Intent,Strategic Mission,Chapter 2,The External,Environment,Chapter 3,The Internal,Environment,The Strategic Management Process,Feedback,Strategic Inputs,Strategic Actions,Strategic Outcomes,2,General,Environment,General,Environment,General,Environment,Sociocultural,Global,Technological,Political/Legal,Demographic,Economic,The External Environment,Industry,Environment,Threat of new entrants,Power of suppliers,Power of buyers,Product substitutes,Intensity of rivalry,Competitor,Environment,總體環境,產業環境,競爭者環境,3,External Environmental Analysis,A continuous process which includes,Scanning,掃瞄,:,Identifying early signals,of environmental changes and trends,Monitoring,監測,:,Detecting meaning through ongoing observations of environmental changes and trends,Forecasting,預測,:,Developing projections of,anticipated outcomes,based on monitored changes and trends,Assessing,評價,:,Determining the timing and importance of environmental changes and trends for,firms strategies and their management,4,External Environmental Analysis,Strategic Intent,Strategic Mission,The External,Environment,Analysis of general environment,Analysis of industry environment,Analysis of competitor environment,The External,Environment,5,General Environment,Sociocultural segment,社會文化面,Women in the workplace,Workforce diversity,勞動力多元化,Attitudes about quality of,worklife,工作生活素質,Concerns about environment,Shifts in work and career preferences,Shifts in product and service preferences,6,Economic segment,經濟面,General Environment,Inflation rates,Interest rates,Trade deficits or surpluses,Budget deficits or surpluses,Personal savings rate,Business savings rates,Gross domestic product,7,General Environment,Political/Legal Segment,政治/法律面,Antitrust laws (,公平交易法),Taxation laws,Deregulation philosophies,管制解除(鬆綁)理念,Labor training laws,Educational philosophies and policies,8,General Environment,Technological Segment,科技面,Product innovations,Applications of knowledge,Focus of private and government-supported R&D expenditures,New communication technologies,9,General Environment,Global Segment,全球面,Important political events,Critical global markets,Newly industrialize countries,Different cultural and institutional attributes,10,General Environment,Demographic Segment,人口統計面,Population size,Age structure,Geographic distribution,Ethnic mix,Income distribution,11,Industry Environment,A set of factors that,directly influences,a company and its competitive actions and responses.,Interaction among these factors determine an,industrys profit potential,.,Threat of new entrants,Power of suppliers,Power of buyers,Product substitutes,Intensity of rivalry,12,Five Forces Model of Competition,Identify,current and potential competitors,and determine which firms serve them.,Conduct competitive analysis.,Recognize that suppliers and buyers can become competitors.,Recognize that producers of potential substitutes may become competitors.,13,Threat of New Entrants,Bargaining Power of Suppliers,Bargaining Power of Buyers,Threat of Substitute Products,Rivalry Among Competing Firms,Five Forces Model of Competition,Five Forces of,Competition,14,Threat of New Entrants,Barriers to entry,Economies of scale,Product differentiation,Capital requirements,Switching costs,轉換成本,Access to distribution channels,Cost disadvantages independent of scale,無關規模之成本優勢,Government policy,Expected retaliation,預期的報復行動,15,產業生命週期與進入障礙,進入障礙 萌芽期 成長期 成長消退期 成熟期 衰退期,科技 高至中 中至低 低 低 低,規模經濟 低 低至中 中至高 中至高 中至高,品牌忠誠 低 低至中 中至高 中至高 中至高,產業生命週期,進入障礙來源,需求高度成長,需求成長緩慢與停滯,需求衰退,16,Bargaining Power of Suppliers,A supplier group is powerful when:,it is,dominated by a few large companies,satisfactory substitute products are,not,available to industry firms,industry firms are,not a significant customer,for the supplier group,suppliers goods are critical to buyers,marketplace success,effectiveness of suppliers products has created,high switching costs,suppliers are a credible threat to,integrate forward,into the buyers industry,向前(向下)整合,17,Bargaining Power of Buyers,Buyers (customers) are powerful when:,they purchase a large portion of an industrys total output,the sales of the product being purchased account for a significant portion of the sellers annual revenues,they could easily switch to another product,the industrys products are,undifferentiated or standardized, and buyers pose a credible threat if they were to,integrate backward,into the sellers industry,向後(向上)整合,18,Threat of Substitute Products,Product substitutes are strong threat when:,customers face few,switching costs,substitute products,price is lower,(,廠商的財力),substitute products quality and performance capabilities are equal to or greater than those of the competing product,19,Intensity of Rivalry,Intensity of rivalry is stronger when competitors:,are,numerous,or,equally,balanced,experience,slow industry growth(,產業生命週期),have high fixed costs or high storage costs,lack differentiation or low switching costs,experience high strategic stakes,策略利害關係,have high,exit barriers,20,產業結構連續帶,分散型,產業中企業家數眾多,並無相對較大且足以主導市場的企業,進入障礙低,產品不易差異化,價格戰容易形成,產業繁榮與衰退時期不斷更替,結合型,企業家數甚少(寡占)或只有一家(獨占),每一家企業都有主宰市場的力量,企業間高度相互依存,常出現價格領導行為,進行非價格戰爭,謹慎採取價格戰,企業家數眾多,只有一家企業,21,同業競爭程度越大平均獲利越低,廠商間的合作可以使大家獲得超額利潤,合作關係的破壞-個別企業在產業合作下有暗中定價的機會,市場的廠商家數越少,勾結(合作)可能性越高,集中度(,concentration ratio),產,業內廠商的數目與相對權力,CR4,產,業中最大四家廠商銷售額或僱用員工人數佔全部產業的比率,競爭廠商規模愈平均,敵對關係愈激烈,(但是競爭行動與反應越謹慎),x(0. 5x0.5+0.25x0.25+0.25x0.25)=3750,指數愈大廠商間愈能合作,22,同業競爭程度越大平均獲利越低,廠商的同質性-在其他條件不變下,廠商同質性愈高愈能合作,資產特定性(專屬性)愈高時增加退出市場的障礙,使產業敵對狀態升高,23,現有敵對狀態與產業生命週期演化,競爭態勢 萌芽期 成長期 成長消退期 成熟期 衰退期,價格競爭 低 低 高 低至高 高,品牌忠誠 低 低 中至高 高 高,整體 低 低 高 中至高 高,產業生命週期,競爭焦點,24,High Exit Barriers,Common exit barriers include:,specialized assets,(assets with values linked to a particular business or location),fixed costs of exit,such as labor agreements,strategic interrelationships,(relationships of mutual dependence between one business and other parts of a companys operation, such as shared facilities and access to financial markets),emotional barriers,(career concerns, loyalty to employees, etc.),government and social restrictions,25,進入障礙與退出障礙對企業獲利的影響,高而具風險的獲利,退出障礙,高,低,高,低,低而穩定的獲利,高而穩定的獲利,低而具風險的獲利,進入障礙,26,需求狀況與退出障礙對企業獲利的影響,出現價格領導,有機會提高價格與擴大市場,需求狀況,低,高,需求成長,需求降低,產能過剩,高度價格戰的威脅,產能過剩,價格戰中度威脅,出現價格領導,擴大市場規模,退出障礙,27,Strategic Groups,策略性群組,Strategic group: a group of firms in an industry,following the same or similar strategy,along the same strategic dimensions.,The strategy followed by a strategic group differs from strategies being implemented by other companies in the industry.,28,策略性群體分析,產業中最主要的競爭對象,擁,有相同資產且採取向同策略的廠商群組,產業中何時會出現策略性群體?,不同群組具有,不同的競爭態勢,同一群組內者為,直接競爭者,移動障礙分析,進入障礙,退出障礙,高品質,低品質,低價位,高價位,退出障礙,進入障礙,29,組織間策略差異的肇因,產業萌芽初期,環境充滿不確定性,消費者不知自己的需求與偏好,廠商根據自己對未來趨勢的判斷,嘗試各種不同的生產模式,組織間逐漸出現策略的差異性,認為顧客需求多樣化者積極開發多元化產品,強調規模經濟者,集中大量生產一種產品,企業在產業形成初期的投資,成為後期選擇策略的資產,產業景況惡化會加大企業間的策略差異,30,Competitor Environment,Competitor intelligence,is the ethical gathering of needed information and data about,competitors objectives, strategies, assumptions, and capabilities,what drives the competitor as shown by its,future objectives,what the competitor is doing and can do as revealed by its,current strategy,What the competitor believes about itself and the industry, as shown by its,assumptions,What the the competitor may be able to do, as shown by its,capabilities,31,Competitor Analysis,Future Objectives:,Future objectives,How do our,goals,compare with our competitors goals?,Where will,the emphasis,be placed in the future?,What is the,attitude toward risk,?,32,Competitor Analysis,Current strategy,Current Strategy:,Future objectives,How are we,currently competing,?,Does this strategy support,changes in the competitive structure,?,33,Competitor Analysis,Assumptions,Current strategy,Future objectives,Assumptions:,Do we assume the future will be volatile?,Are we operating under a status quo?,What assumptions do our competitors hold about the industry and themselves?,34,Competitor Analysis,Capabilities,Assumptions,Current strategy,Future objectives,Capabilities:,What are our strengths and weaknesses?,How do we rate,compared to our competitors,?,35,Competitor Analysis,Capabilities,Assumptions,Current strategy,Future objectives,Response,Response:,What will our competitors do in the future?,Where do we hold an advantage over our competitors?,How will this change our relationship with our competitors?,36,有關競爭者的問題,顧客,競爭者的顧客在何處,?,誰是競爭者主要顧客,?,行銷,採用何種定價,/,產品或行銷策略,?,配銷,如何配銷產品,?,銷售,銷售人力的規模有多大,?,銷售條件與狀況為何,?,廣告,在何處廣告,?,廣告支出水準,?,財務,獲利狀況,?,固定成本有多高?,37,有關競爭者的問題,生產與作業,生產規模,/,地點與產能,?,產品生產效率水準?,組織,組織結構型態,?,管理分權,/集權程度?,由誰制定重大決策?,研究與發展,擁有哪些專利與商標?,正著手開發哪些新產品,?,研發預算支出水準,?,策略性計畫,短,/,長期計畫,?,將專注於核心事業或有計畫擴充其他市場?,是否企圖收購其他事業,?,38,有關競爭者的問題,主要競爭者的優勢,?,主要競爭者的劣勢?,主要競爭者的目標與策略?,主要競爭者對當前總體與產業環境因素最可能如何回應?,我們的策略對主要競爭者的傷害程度?,相對於主要競爭者,我們的產品與服務如何定位,?,新企業進入與離開產業的難易程度?,在產業中造成彼此目前競爭地位的關鍵性因素為何?,主要競爭者近來銷售地位與獲利水準的變化與原因?,39,外部因素評估矩陣,External factor evaluation matrix,EFE,步驟1,:,列出外部稽核所確認的主要因素,10-20個,先列機會後列威脅,步驟2 :為每個因素分派權數,權數代表因素對成功的重要程度,通常機會的權數高於威脅,步驟3:評定企業回應每個因素的能力分數,最高4表示回應能力強,最低表示回應能力弱,評分對象是企業與企業策略的有效性,40,外部因素評估矩陣,步驟4 計算加權分數,權數,X,評分,步驟5 加總每個因素的加權分數,最高為4,41,外部因素評估矩陣範例,-,無煙煙草製造公司,機會,權重,評分,加權分數,全球市場尚未打開,0.15,1,因公開禁煙而增加的需求,0.05,3,龐大網路廣告的增加,0.05,1,prinkerton,在折扣香煙市場的領先,0.15,4,0.60,更多禁煙的壓力,0.10,3,威脅,權重 評分 加權分數,反對香煙產業的法令規定,0.10,2,生產上限,0.05,3,無煙香煙市場集中於美國西南,0.05,2,來自,FDA,的不良曝光,2,Clinton,政府的管制增加,0.20,1,42,競爭態勢矩陣,Competitive Profile Matrix,CPM,辨識企業主要競爭者,與相對於特定廠商策略的定位,優劣勢與內部策略性資訊的比較,CPM,與,EFE,所得的加權分數有相同的意義,不同之處為,CPM,所列關鍵因素較廣泛且集中於內部課題,43,競爭態勢矩陣,步驟與,EFE,類似,權重分數依重要性評定由0,.0,至1,.0,總權重為1,.0,評分最高為4,表示主要的優勢,最低為1表示主要的劣勢,加總加權分數後判定誰是最強的競爭者,44,競爭態勢矩陣範例,關鍵成功因素,Avon,Loreal,P&G,權重,評分加權分數,評分加權分數,評分加權分數,廣告,0.02,1,0.20,產品競爭,0.10,4,0.40,價格競爭,0.10,3,管理,0.10,4,財務狀況,0.15,4,顧客忠誠度,0.10,4,全球擴張,0.20,4,市場佔有率,0.05,1,總和,1.00,省略,省略,誰是最強的競爭者?,45,
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